Santa Cruz de Alvarenga vs Leça FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
11.2%
Win probability
0.66
Expected goals
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.3%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.5%
2-0
1.5%
3-1
0.7%
4-2
0.1%
+2
2.3%
1-0
4.6%
2-1
3%
3-2
0.7%
4-3
0.1%
+1
8.3%
19.6%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
19.6%
69.2%
Win probability
2.01
Expected goals
0-1
13.9%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
25.4%
0-2
14%
1-3
6.2%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
21.3%
0-3
9.4%
1-4
3.1%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
12.9%
0-4
4.7%
1-5
1.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
6.1%
0-5
1.9%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0%
-5
2.4%
0-6
0.6%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.8%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Santa Cruz de Alvarenga
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Dec. 2021 |
VAL
1 - 1
ALV
62%
20%
18%
|
24 | 32 | 8 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 2021 |
ESP
2 - 1
ALV
76%
15%
9%
|
24 | 41 | 17 | 0 |
| 05 Dec. 2021 |
ALV
0 - 1
SAL
17%
20%
63%
|
26 | 43 | 17 | -2 |
| 28 Nov. 2021 |
ALV
0 - 0
GOU
41%
23%
37%
|
25 | 30 | 5 | +1 |
| 07 Nov. 2021 |
GON
1 - 2
ALV
70%
17%
12%
|
24 | 37 | 13 | +1 |
Matches
Leça FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Dec. 2021 |
LEC
1 - 1
PAR
55%
25%
19%
|
46 | 41 | 5 | 0 |
| 18 Dec. 2021 |
LEC
2 - 1
ESP
55%
26%
20%
|
46 | 41 | 5 | 0 |
| 12 Dec. 2021 |
LEC
4 - 0
GOU
74%
18%
8%
|
46 | 28 | 18 | 0 |
| 05 Dec. 2021 |
COI
1 - 3
LEC
70%
19%
11%
|
44 | 70 | 26 | +2 |
| 01 Dec. 2021 |
VAL
0 - 1
LEC
24%
26%
51%
|
43 | 35 | 8 | +1 |