Santa Cruz de Alvarenga vs Ferreira de Aves analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56.8%
Win probability
2.22
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
5%
3-0
5.1%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
10.3%
2-0
6.8%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
2.6%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
16.9%
1-0
6.2%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
4.7%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.6%
20.2%
Draw
0-0
2.8%
1-1
8.4%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
2.1%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
20.2%
23%
Win probability
1.37
Expected goals
0-1
3.8%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
13.3%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
6.4%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Santa Cruz de Alvarenga
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Sep. 2021 |
OLH
1 - 0
ALV
68%
18%
14%
|
23 | 40 | 17 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 2021 |
LEC
1 - 0
ALV
71%
17%
12%
|
23 | 39 | 16 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2021 |
ALV
3 - 1
GOU
23%
21%
56%
|
20 | 33 | 13 | +3 |
| 29 Aug. 2021 |
ALV
1 - 0
VAL
18%
20%
62%
|
18 | 32 | 14 | +2 |
| 03 May. 2015 |
ALV
1 - 1
ARR
63%
19%
17%
|
17 | 15 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Ferreira de Aves
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Sep. 2021 |
FAV
0 - 1
ACV
7%
13%
80%
|
20 | 56 | 36 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 2021 |
VAL
4 - 1
FAV
68%
18%
14%
|
21 | 31 | 10 | -1 |
| 29 Aug. 2021 |
FAV
0 - 1
SAL
15%
19%
66%
|
21 | 42 | 21 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2020 |
FAV
0 - 1
SAN
23%
21%
56%
|
22 | 38 | 16 | -1 |
| 08 Sep. 2019 |
RDA
5 - 0
FAV
64%
20%
16%
|
23 | 41 | 18 | -1 |