Aluminium vs Polar analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
34%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.4%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.7%
2-0
5.4%
3-1
3.4%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.8%
1-0
8.3%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.1%
25.5%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25.5%
40.5%
Win probability
1.45
Expected goals
0-1
9.3%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
21.2%
0-2
6.7%
1-3
4.2%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12%
0-3
3.2%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5.1%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.7%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aluminium
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Nov. 1999 |
WLO
1 - 3
ALU
72%
18%
10%
|
41 | 58 | 17 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 1999 |
ALU
0 - 0
GKS
23%
26%
51%
|
40 | 64 | 24 | +1 |
| 23 Oct. 1999 |
JEZ
1 - 0
ALU
49%
24%
27%
|
41 | 43 | 2 | -1 |
| 16 Oct. 1999 |
ALU
1 - 2
ODR
37%
25%
38%
|
42 | 48 | 6 | -1 |
| 09 Oct. 1999 |
STA
2 - 1
ALU
69%
20%
12%
|
42 | 61 | 19 | 0 |
Matches
Polar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Nov. 1999 |
POL
2 - 1
TSP
30%
27%
43%
|
49 | 61 | 12 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 1999 |
SLA
1 - 1
POL
69%
19%
13%
|
49 | 60 | 11 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 1999 |
POL
0 - 0
ODR
34%
28%
38%
|
48 | 60 | 12 | +1 |
| 16 Oct. 1999 |
GOR
3 - 0
POL
70%
18%
12%
|
49 | 61 | 12 | -1 |
| 09 Oct. 1999 |
POL
1 - 0
HET
60%
21%
19%
|
49 | 41 | 8 | 0 |