Aluminium Naq Hammadi vs El Minya analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57.6%
Win probability
1.87
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.1%
3-0
6.1%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.6%
2-0
9.9%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.7%
1-0
10.6%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
22.4%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
5%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.4%
20%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
0-1
5.7%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
13%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.1%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-10%
+22%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
40
6º
15º
9º
46
6º
13º
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
6º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
69 | 69 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
68 | 68 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
60 | 60 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
53 | 53 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
48 | 48 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
|
6º
|
46 | 46 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
45 | 45 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
40 | 43 |
8º
|
79% | |
|
|
9º
|
40 | 40 |
9º
|
79% | |
|
10º
|
38 | 38 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
30 | 30 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
28 | 28 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
23 | 23 |
13º
|
0% | |
|
13º
|
23 | 23 |
14º
|
0% | |
|
15º
|
21 | 21 |
15º
|
79% | |
|
16º
|
19 | 19 |
16º
|
79% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aluminium Naq Hammadi
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Dec. 2022 |
ASA
1 - 0
ALU
53%
24%
24%
|
48 | 48 | 0 | 0 |
| 22 Dec. 2022 |
ALU
2 - 0
TBS
69%
19%
12%
|
47 | 42 | 5 | +1 |
| 15 Dec. 2022 |
ANT
1 - 1
ALU
43%
25%
32%
|
48 | 45 | 3 | -1 |
| 08 Dec. 2022 |
ALU
2 - 0
ALF
75%
17%
9%
|
47 | 38 | 9 | +1 |
| 01 Dec. 2022 |
SMQ
1 - 2
ALU
25%
26%
49%
|
47 | 39 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
El Minya
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Dec. 2022 |
ELM
2 - 1
MIS
19%
25%
56%
|
43 | 57 | 14 | 0 |
| 22 Dec. 2022 |
MAD
1 - 1
ELM
28%
25%
48%
|
44 | 35 | 9 | -1 |
| 15 Dec. 2022 |
GOU
1 - 2
ELM
77%
16%
7%
|
42 | 63 | 21 | +2 |
| 09 Dec. 2022 |
ELM
0 - 2
ASA
30%
25%
45%
|
44 | 48 | 4 | -2 |
| 01 Dec. 2022 |
TBS
2 - 1
ELM
35%
26%
39%
|
45 | 42 | 3 | -1 |