Alta IF vs Bærum analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57.8%
Win probability
2.09
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.8%
4-0
3%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.8%
3-0
5.7%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
10.2%
2-0
8.2%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.5%
1-0
7.8%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.6%
20.9%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
9.4%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
20.9%
21.3%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
0-1
4.5%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
13%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
5.7%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-9%
-14%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Alta IF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Apr. 2012 |
BOG
1 - 0
ALT
64%
21%
15%
|
56 | 64 | 8 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2012 |
ALT
0 - 1
MJO
56%
22%
22%
|
57 | 56 | 1 | -1 |
| 30 Oct. 2011 |
ALT
0 - 0
BRY
48%
24%
28%
|
58 | 60 | 2 | -1 |
| 23 Oct. 2011 |
STR
1 - 2
ALT
44%
25%
31%
|
57 | 53 | 4 | +1 |
| 16 Oct. 2011 |
ALT
1 - 0
RAN
41%
24%
35%
|
56 | 61 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Bærum
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Apr. 2012 |
BAR
3 - 3
BOG
25%
25%
51%
|
50 | 64 | 14 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2011 |
BAR
5 - 1
FOL
51%
23%
27%
|
49 | 51 | 2 | +1 |
| 15 Oct. 2011 |
KRI
1 - 1
BAR
49%
24%
28%
|
49 | 50 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2011 |
BAR
6 - 1
JEV
82%
12%
6%
|
49 | 33 | 16 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2011 |
FFL
0 - 5
BAR
32%
23%
45%
|
48 | 41 | 7 | +1 |