Almirante Brown vs Sarmiento analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
57.9%
Win probability
1.82
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
4%
3-0
6.3%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.5%
2-0
10.4%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.8%
1-0
11.4%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
22.8%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.8%
19.3%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.8%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.8%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Almirante Brown
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Feb. 2007 |
COM
0 - 2
ALM
33%
28%
39%
|
57 | 50 | 7 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2007 |
ALM
3 - 0
ATL
64%
21%
14%
|
57 | 48 | 9 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 2007 |
ITA
0 - 1
ALM
33%
28%
39%
|
56 | 49 | 7 | +1 |
| 04 Feb. 2007 |
ALM
1 - 0
BRO
66%
21%
13%
|
56 | 47 | 9 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 2007 |
AND
1 - 1
ALM
39%
26%
34%
|
56 | 49 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Sarmiento
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Feb. 2007 |
SAR
0 - 0
SUA
49%
26%
25%
|
51 | 55 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2007 |
TEM
0 - 0
SAR
44%
27%
29%
|
51 | 52 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 2007 |
SAR
1 - 2
FLA
71%
18%
11%
|
52 | 46 | 6 | -1 |
| 03 Feb. 2007 |
ARM
1 - 1
SAR
36%
28%
36%
|
52 | 52 | 0 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 2007 |
SAR
3 - 1
MER
41%
26%
34%
|
51 | 56 | 5 | +1 |