Almería B vs Arroyo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57.9%
Win probability
1.84
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.1%
3-0
6.3%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.6%
2-0
10.3%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.8%
1-0
11.2%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
22.7%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.6%
19.5%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.8%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
4.9%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+47%
-15%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Almería B
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Nov. 2012 |
ALM
1 - 0
LAH
75%
16%
10%
|
53 | 35 | 18 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 2012 |
CAR
2 - 2
ALM
70%
19%
11%
|
52 | 63 | 11 | +1 |
| 18 Nov. 2012 |
ALM
4 - 2
SEV
37%
27%
36%
|
51 | 57 | 6 | +1 |
| 10 Nov. 2012 |
SRQ
0 - 2
ALM
53%
25%
22%
|
49 | 55 | 6 | +2 |
| 04 Nov. 2012 |
ALM
0 - 1
BAL
45%
26%
29%
|
50 | 52 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Arroyo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Nov. 2012 |
ARR
0 - 0
RJA
33%
29%
38%
|
47 | 61 | 14 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 2012 |
MEL
2 - 0
ARR
60%
23%
18%
|
47 | 57 | 10 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2012 |
ARR
1 - 1
ROD
61%
21%
18%
|
47 | 45 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2012 |
CAD
2 - 5
ARR
73%
17%
10%
|
46 | 61 | 15 | +1 |
| 28 Oct. 2012 |
CAR
1 - 2
ARR
81%
14%
6%
|
45 | 64 | 19 | +1 |