Jong Almere City vs Excelsior Maassluis analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
71.5%
Win probability
2.52
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.5%
5-0
2.6%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.9%
4-0
5.2%
5-1
2.5%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
8.3%
3-0
8.3%
4-1
5%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
14.6%
2-0
9.9%
3-1
7.9%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.6%
1-0
7.9%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.8%
16.4%
Draw
0-0
3.1%
1-1
7.5%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
16.4%
12.1%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
0-1
3%
1-2
3.5%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
8.2%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
2.9%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+41%
+140%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
49
5º
18º
8º
32
9º
18º
16º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
16º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
82 | 82 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
71 | 71 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
62 | 62 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
59 | 59 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
57 | 57 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
54 | 54 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
49 | 49 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
|
8º
|
49 | 49 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
47 | 47 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
44 | 44 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
44 | 44 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
42 | 42 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
41 | 41 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
39 | 39 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
33 | 33 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
|
16º
|
32 | 32 |
16º
|
100% | |
|
17º
|
23 | 23 |
17º
|
100% | |
|
18º
|
19 | 19 |
18º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Jong Almere City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Jan. 2024 |
KAT
1 - 3
ALM
60%
22%
18%
|
49 | 58 | 9 | 0 |
| 13 Jan. 2024 |
ALM
1 - 5
AFC
40%
25%
35%
|
50 | 55 | 5 | -1 |
| 16 Dec. 2023 |
ALM
1 - 1
KON
49%
23%
28%
|
50 | 50 | 0 | 0 |
| 09 Dec. 2023 |
RIJ
1 - 2
ALM
48%
24%
28%
|
49 | 51 | 2 | +1 |
| 02 Dec. 2023 |
ALM
4 - 1
SCH
53%
23%
25%
|
48 | 48 | 0 | +1 |
Matches
Excelsior Maassluis
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Jan. 2024 |
EXC
5 - 0
LIS
43%
25%
32%
|
41 | 42 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Jan. 2024 |
EXC
1 - 2
ADO
5%
12%
83%
|
41 | 73 | 32 | 0 |
| 19 Dec. 2023 |
DEM
0 - 1
EXC
65%
19%
16%
|
39 | 50 | 11 | +2 |
| 16 Dec. 2023 |
ACV
3 - 1
EXC
74%
17%
9%
|
40 | 56 | 16 | -1 |
| 09 Dec. 2023 |
EXC
0 - 1
SPA
31%
24%
46%
|
41 | 45 | 4 | -1 |