Almancilense vs Monchiquense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
87.7%
Win probability
3.08
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.6%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.7%
7-0
1.5%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.8%
6-0
3.4%
7-1
0.7%
8-2
0.1%
+6
4.1%
5-0
6.5%
6-1
1.6%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
8.3%
4-0
10.6%
5-1
3.2%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
14.2%
3-0
13.7%
4-1
5.2%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
19.7%
2-0
13.4%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.5%
1-0
8.7%
2-1
6.5%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.1%
8.9%
Draw
0-0
2.8%
1-1
4.2%
2-2
1.6%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
8.9%
3.3%
Win probability
0.49
Expected goals
0-1
1.4%
1-2
1%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0%
-1
2.7%
0-2
0.3%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0%
-2
0.5%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Almancilense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Feb. 2015 |
ALM
1 - 0
FAB
82%
12%
6%
|
28 | 14 | 14 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 2015 |
3 - 1
ALM
15%
19%
67%
|
31 | 15 | 16 | -3 |
| 31 Jan. 2015 |
CUL
0 - 1
ALM
18%
20%
63%
|
31 | 17 | 14 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 2015 |
ALM
2 - 0
QUA
80%
13%
7%
|
31 | 17 | 14 | 0 |
| 17 Jan. 2015 |
CAR
0 - 5
ALM
8%
15%
77%
|
30 | 5 | 25 | +1 |
Matches
Monchiquense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Feb. 2015 |
MON
0 - 1
ARM
23%
22%
56%
|
7 | 12 | 5 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 2015 |
FAB
3 - 0
MON
82%
12%
6%
|
7 | 14 | 7 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 2015 |
LAG
1 - 0
MON
84%
11%
5%
|
7 | 21 | 14 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 2015 |
MON
1 - 4
15%
20%
65%
|
8 | 15 | 7 | -1 |
| 17 Jan. 2015 |
MON
1 - 3
ESP
39%
23%
38%
|
9 | 10 | 1 | -1 |