Alliance vs Elite analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
2.1%
Win probability
0.57
Expected goals
3-0
<0%
4-1
<0%
+3
0.1%
2-0
0.2%
3-1
0.1%
4-2
<0%
+2
0.4%
1-0
0.6%
2-1
0.7%
3-2
0.3%
4-3
<0%
+1
1.7%
5.4%
Draw
0-0
1.1%
1-1
2.5%
2-2
1.4%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
5.4%
92.2%
Win probability
3.91
Expected goals
0-1
4.4%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
11.6%
0-2
8.7%
1-3
6.4%
2-4
1.8%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
17.2%
0-3
11.3%
1-4
6.3%
2-5
1.4%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
19.2%
0-4
11%
1-5
4.9%
2-6
0.9%
3-7
0.1%
-4
17%
0-5
8.6%
1-6
3.2%
2-7
0.5%
3-8
0%
-5
12.4%
0-6
5.6%
1-7
1.8%
2-8
0.2%
3-9
0%
-6
7.7%
0-7
3.2%
1-8
0.9%
2-9
0.1%
-7
4.1%
0-8
1.5%
1-9
0.4%
2-10
0%
-8
2%
0-9
0.7%
1-10
0.1%
-9
0.8%
0-10
0.3%
-10
0.3%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+76%
-12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Alliance
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Jan. 2020 |
BOD
5 - 1
AFC
94%
4%
1%
|
6 | 48 | 42 | 0 |
| 12 Jan. 2020 |
AFC
0 - 1
GEO
4%
9%
87%
|
6 | 30 | 24 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 2019 |
ACA
2 - 1
AFC
95%
4%
1%
|
6 | 39 | 33 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 2019 |
AFC
3 - 3
EEU
8%
13%
79%
|
5 | 14 | 9 | +1 |
| 23 Nov. 2019 |
AFC
2 - 3
ROM
6%
13%
81%
|
6 | 39 | 33 | -1 |
Matches
Elite
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Jan. 2020 |
ELI
2 - 1
ROM
77%
15%
8%
|
47 | 36 | 11 | 0 |
| 13 Jan. 2020 |
ELI
4 - 1
SCH
34%
23%
43%
|
45 | 49 | 4 | +2 |
| 07 Dec. 2019 |
SUN
1 - 1
ELI
13%
17%
71%
|
45 | 32 | 13 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 2019 |
ELI
2 - 1
NSI
93%
5%
2%
|
45 | 14 | 31 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 2019 |
FSC
2 - 0
ELI
16%
19%
65%
|
47 | 38 | 9 | -2 |