Aljaraque CD vs CD Canela analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
41.7%
Win probability
1.54
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.9%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.5%
2-0
6.5%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.4%
1-0
8.5%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.1%
24.7%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.7%
33.6%
Win probability
1.36
Expected goals
0-1
7.5%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
18.6%
0-2
5.1%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
9.7%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.8%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aljaraque CD
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Mar. 2008 |
HIN
0 - 3
ALJ
55%
22%
23%
|
17 | 19 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2008 |
ALJ
0 - 4
EBR
24%
24%
52%
|
18 | 29 | 11 | -1 |
| 02 Mar. 2008 |
CAM
2 - 1
ALJ
54%
23%
24%
|
19 | 21 | 2 | -1 |
| 24 Feb. 2008 |
ALJ
0 - 2
OCF
31%
25%
45%
|
20 | 26 | 6 | -1 |
| 17 Feb. 2008 |
ALJ
3 - 0
TRI
60%
22%
19%
|
19 | 15 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
CD Canela
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Mar. 2008 |
CAN
2 - 1
TRI
68%
18%
14%
|
19 | 16 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2008 |
MOG
1 - 2
CAN
59%
23%
19%
|
19 | 23 | 4 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2008 |
CAN
2 - 1
ALM
29%
26%
45%
|
17 | 27 | 10 | +2 |
| 24 Feb. 2008 |
ARO
3 - 1
CAN
63%
21%
17%
|
18 | 24 | 6 | -1 |
| 17 Feb. 2008 |
CAN
1 - 2
RIO
47%
25%
28%
|
18 | 20 | 2 | 0 |