Alianza vs Santa Tecla analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
46.5%
Win probability
1.49
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.1%
3-0
4.2%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.2%
2-0
8.5%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14%
1-0
11.3%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.3%
25.9%
Draw
0-0
7.6%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.9%
27.6%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
0-1
8.2%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
17%
0-2
4.5%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.4%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+15%
-28%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Alianza
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Aug. 2018 |
MUN
3 - 3
ALI
29%
26%
45%
|
69 | 58 | 11 | 0 |
| 29 Jul. 2018 |
ALI
0 - 0
FAS
59%
23%
18%
|
69 | 64 | 5 | 0 |
| 20 May. 2018 |
ALI
1 - 0
SAN
51%
23%
26%
|
71 | 69 | 2 | -2 |
| 13 May. 2018 |
ALI
2 - 0
AGU
68%
19%
13%
|
70 | 61 | 9 | +1 |
| 10 May. 2018 |
AGU
2 - 3
ALI
25%
25%
50%
|
70 | 61 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Santa Tecla
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Aug. 2018 |
SAN
2 - 1
CSH
46%
25%
29%
|
68 | 71 | 3 | 0 |
| 06 Aug. 2018 |
SAN
1 - 1
MET
67%
20%
13%
|
68 | 55 | 13 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 2018 |
CSH
1 - 0
SAN
51%
23%
26%
|
68 | 69 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 Jul. 2018 |
SAN
3 - 0
IND
65%
21%
14%
|
68 | 54 | 14 | 0 |
| 20 May. 2018 |
ALI
1 - 0
SAN
51%
23%
26%
|
69 | 71 | 2 | -1 |