Alianza vs Once Deportivo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
69.1%
Win probability
2.03
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.4%
4-0
4.7%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
6.2%
3-0
9.3%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
13%
2-0
13.8%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.2%
1-0
13.5%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.2%
19.5%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
19.5%
11.3%
Win probability
0.68
Expected goals
0-1
4.5%
1-2
3.1%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8.4%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.4%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+16%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Alianza
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Sep. 2022 |
ALI
3 - 0
ATL
74%
17%
9%
|
67 | 50 | 17 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2022 |
ALI
2 - 2
MET
65%
21%
14%
|
67 | 56 | 11 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2022 |
LDA
2 - 0
ALI
52%
23%
25%
|
68 | 73 | 5 | -1 |
| 08 Sep. 2022 |
ALI
0 - 1
LDA
37%
24%
39%
|
69 | 74 | 5 | -1 |
| 25 Aug. 2022 |
ALI
5 - 1
HAN
89%
9%
2%
|
69 | 30 | 39 | 0 |
Matches
Once Deportivo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Sep. 2022 |
FAS
1 - 0
ONC
51%
26%
23%
|
56 | 59 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2022 |
ONC
1 - 1
ATL
54%
25%
21%
|
56 | 50 | 6 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2022 |
ONC
0 - 1
JOC
50%
26%
24%
|
57 | 54 | 3 | -1 |
| 01 May. 2022 |
AGU
0 - 1
ONC
58%
25%
17%
|
56 | 66 | 10 | +1 |
| 29 Apr. 2022 |
ALI
1 - 0
ONC
66%
21%
13%
|
56 | 69 | 13 | 0 |