Alianza vs Isidro Metapán analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
30%
Win probability
1.42
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.1%
3-0
1.8%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.4%
2-0
3.9%
3-1
3.4%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
8.6%
1-0
5.5%
2-1
7.2%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
16.5%
22.7%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22.7%
47.3%
Win probability
1.83
Expected goals
0-1
7.1%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
4%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.3%
0-2
6.5%
1-3
5.6%
2-4
1.8%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
14.3%
0-3
4%
1-4
2.6%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
7.3%
0-4
1.8%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
3%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+20%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Alianza
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Dec. 2012 |
ALI
0 - 0
FAS
44%
24%
31%
|
64 | 66 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 2012 |
FAS
1 - 1
ALI
49%
25%
27%
|
64 | 66 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 2012 |
ATL
0 - 2
ALI
45%
26%
30%
|
63 | 59 | 4 | +1 |
| 17 Nov. 2012 |
ALI
2 - 0
JUV
57%
24%
19%
|
62 | 57 | 5 | +1 |
| 11 Nov. 2012 |
UES
3 - 3
ALI
34%
28%
38%
|
62 | 54 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Isidro Metapán
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Dec. 2012 |
MET
3 - 2
AGU
58%
21%
21%
|
69 | 64 | 5 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 2012 |
AGU
1 - 2
MET
35%
23%
42%
|
68 | 65 | 3 | +1 |
| 25 Nov. 2012 |
AGU
1 - 2
MET
39%
24%
37%
|
68 | 65 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 2012 |
MET
1 - 0
ATL
68%
19%
13%
|
67 | 60 | 7 | +1 |
| 11 Nov. 2012 |
JUV
1 - 4
MET
31%
25%
44%
|
67 | 58 | 9 | 0 |