Alianza vs FAS analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
61.3%
Win probability
1.84
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3.3%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.4%
3-0
7.2%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.4%
2-0
11.8%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19%
1-0
12.8%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.3%
22.3%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.3%
16.4%
Win probability
0.83
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
11.4%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.8%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Alianza
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Apr. 2021 |
ALI
4 - 0
JOC
68%
20%
12%
|
69 | 56 | 13 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 2021 |
ALI
3 - 1
ONC
60%
23%
17%
|
69 | 61 | 8 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 2021 |
ATL
2 - 4
ALI
13%
21%
66%
|
69 | 48 | 21 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 2021 |
ALI
1 - 0
FIR
69%
20%
12%
|
68 | 56 | 12 | +1 |
| 01 Apr. 2021 |
FAS
3 - 2
ALI
24%
26%
50%
|
69 | 61 | 8 | -1 |
Matches
FAS
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Apr. 2021 |
FAS
4 - 3
ATL
67%
22%
12%
|
62 | 47 | 15 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 2021 |
JOC
1 - 1
FAS
32%
28%
39%
|
62 | 56 | 6 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2021 |
FAS
3 - 1
FIR
50%
27%
23%
|
61 | 56 | 5 | +1 |
| 04 Apr. 2021 |
ONC
3 - 1
FAS
39%
29%
33%
|
62 | 60 | 2 | -1 |
| 01 Apr. 2021 |
FAS
3 - 2
ALI
24%
26%
50%
|
61 | 69 | 8 | +1 |