Alianza vs FAS analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
75.7%
Win probability
2.21
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.8%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
<0%
+5
3.4%
4-0
6.3%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
+4
8%
3-0
11.5%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
15.3%
2-0
15.6%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.8%
1-0
14.2%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
+1
24.4%
16.7%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
7.6%
2-2
2.3%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
16.7%
7.6%
Win probability
0.54
Expected goals
0-1
3.5%
1-2
2.1%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0%
-1
6%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.4%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+15%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Alianza
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Apr. 2019 |
ALI
1 - 2
PAS
83%
13%
5%
|
77 | 51 | 26 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 2019 |
SAN
0 - 4
ALI
35%
26%
39%
|
76 | 71 | 5 | +1 |
| 07 Apr. 2019 |
ALI
6 - 2
IND
83%
13%
4%
|
76 | 54 | 22 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2019 |
MUN
1 - 1
ALI
16%
24%
60%
|
76 | 58 | 18 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 2019 |
AGU
0 - 0
ALI
15%
24%
60%
|
76 | 61 | 15 | 0 |
Matches
FAS
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Apr. 2019 |
FAS
0 - 1
IND
54%
26%
21%
|
61 | 54 | 7 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2019 |
AGU
0 - 0
FAS
45%
29%
26%
|
61 | 62 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2019 |
FAS
1 - 1
SFC
67%
22%
12%
|
61 | 47 | 14 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 2019 |
FAS
2 - 0
CHA
50%
27%
24%
|
61 | 56 | 5 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 2019 |
FAS
2 - 1
MUN
43%
28%
29%
|
60 | 59 | 1 | +1 |