Alianza vs FC Motagua analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
49.8%
Win probability
1.7
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.9%
3-0
4.7%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.5%
2-0
8.2%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.2%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23%
24%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24%
26.2%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
0-1
6.7%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
15.8%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.1%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+16%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Alianza
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Nov. 2020 |
SAN
1 - 3
ALI
19%
24%
57%
|
76 | 61 | 15 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 2020 |
ALI
1 - 0
ATL
82%
13%
5%
|
75 | 49 | 26 | +1 |
| 18 Oct. 2020 |
CHA
0 - 3
ALI
12%
22%
66%
|
75 | 56 | 19 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 2020 |
ALI
3 - 0
SAN
70%
19%
11%
|
75 | 62 | 13 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2020 |
ALI
1 - 2
JOC
85%
12%
4%
|
74 | 52 | 22 | +1 |
Matches
FC Motagua
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Nov. 2020 |
OLI
2 - 1
MOT
44%
26%
30%
|
76 | 77 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2020 |
RSO
1 - 5
MOT
11%
22%
67%
|
75 | 54 | 21 | +1 |
| 25 Oct. 2020 |
MOT
1 - 1
MAR
51%
25%
25%
|
75 | 71 | 4 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2020 |
MOT
2 - 2
COM
54%
24%
22%
|
75 | 72 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2020 |
RDM
0 - 3
MOT
24%
29%
47%
|
75 | 62 | 13 | 0 |