Alianza FC vs Once Caldas analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
19.6%
Win probability
0.86
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.2%
2-0
3%
3-1
1.4%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.7%
1-0
7.1%
2-1
5%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.1%
+1
13.4%
24.7%
Draw
0-0
8.3%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.7%
55.7%
Win probability
1.63
Expected goals
0-1
13.6%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25.5%
0-2
11.1%
1-3
5.1%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
17.2%
0-3
6%
1-4
2.1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
8.4%
0-4
2.5%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.2%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-16%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Alianza FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Mar. 2013 |
ALI
0 - 0
CHI
34%
25%
41%
|
66 | 73 | 7 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2013 |
QUI
2 - 3
ALI
53%
25%
22%
|
65 | 70 | 5 | +1 |
| 13 Mar. 2013 |
BUC
2 - 1
ALI
28%
25%
47%
|
66 | 57 | 9 | -1 |
| 10 Mar. 2013 |
ALI
1 - 2
ENV
38%
27%
35%
|
66 | 71 | 5 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 2013 |
PAT
0 - 0
ALI
41%
25%
34%
|
67 | 64 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Once Caldas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Mar. 2013 |
ONC
0 - 3
FOR
82%
13%
5%
|
81 | 57 | 24 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2013 |
ENV
0 - 2
ONC
27%
28%
45%
|
80 | 71 | 9 | +1 |
| 13 Mar. 2013 |
TOL
2 - 1
ONC
43%
26%
31%
|
81 | 78 | 3 | -1 |
| 11 Mar. 2013 |
ONC
2 - 1
IND
64%
21%
15%
|
80 | 74 | 6 | +1 |
| 07 Mar. 2013 |
ONC
4 - 4
PER
75%
16%
9%
|
80 | 67 | 13 | 0 |