Alianza FC vs Deportes Tolima analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
24.5%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.3%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.8%
2-0
4.1%
3-1
1.8%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.2%
1-0
8.6%
2-1
5.9%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
16%
26.6%
Draw
0-0
9.1%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.6%
48.9%
Win probability
1.45
Expected goals
0-1
13.3%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
24.6%
0-2
9.6%
1-3
4.4%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
14.8%
0-3
4.7%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
6.5%
0-4
1.7%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.2%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
+6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Alianza FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Oct. 2014 |
MIL
2 - 0
ALI
56%
24%
20%
|
72 | 75 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2014 |
ALI
0 - 0
UNI
56%
24%
20%
|
72 | 64 | 8 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 2014 |
ALI
3 - 1
CAL
27%
29%
44%
|
71 | 81 | 10 | +1 |
| 05 Oct. 2014 |
IND
1 - 2
ALI
58%
24%
19%
|
70 | 77 | 7 | +1 |
| 28 Sep. 2014 |
ALI
1 - 1
PAT
43%
28%
29%
|
71 | 71 | 0 | -1 |
Matches
Deportes Tolima
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Oct. 2014 |
TOL
2 - 1
PAT
69%
19%
13%
|
80 | 71 | 9 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2014 |
TOL
2 - 3
CAL
56%
24%
20%
|
81 | 80 | 1 | -1 |
| 23 Oct. 2014 |
PAT
0 - 0
TOL
28%
26%
46%
|
81 | 72 | 9 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2014 |
IND
2 - 3
TOL
37%
27%
36%
|
81 | 76 | 5 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2014 |
TOL
1 - 1
PAT
68%
20%
13%
|
82 | 72 | 10 | -1 |