Alianza FC vs Boyacá Chicó analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
35.6%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.6%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.8%
2-0
6.1%
3-1
3.3%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.2%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.2%
26.7%
Draw
0-0
7.8%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.7%
37.7%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
0-1
10.2%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
20.9%
0-2
6.6%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.9%
0-3
2.8%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.2%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-15%
-10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Alianza FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Jan. 2014 |
EQU
1 - 1
ALI
51%
26%
22%
|
68 | 75 | 7 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 2013 |
ALI
0 - 1
MIL
23%
27%
51%
|
68 | 80 | 12 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 2013 |
HUI
2 - 0
ALI
39%
27%
34%
|
69 | 65 | 4 | -1 |
| 26 Oct. 2013 |
ALI
2 - 1
TOL
22%
26%
52%
|
69 | 80 | 11 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2013 |
CUC
2 - 0
ALI
37%
27%
36%
|
70 | 65 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Boyacá Chicó
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Jan. 2014 |
CHI
2 - 1
CAL
30%
28%
42%
|
70 | 80 | 10 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 2013 |
QUI
2 - 1
CHI
34%
26%
39%
|
70 | 65 | 5 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 2013 |
CHI
0 - 2
AGU
33%
28%
39%
|
71 | 79 | 8 | -1 |
| 27 Oct. 2013 |
NAC
0 - 1
CHI
56%
24%
20%
|
70 | 80 | 10 | +1 |
| 21 Oct. 2013 |
CHI
0 - 2
SFE
31%
28%
42%
|
71 | 80 | 9 | -1 |