Alianza Lima vs Univ. San Martín analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
49.6%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.3%
3-0
4.8%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.6%
2-0
9.8%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15%
1-0
13.4%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.8%
26.5%
Draw
0-0
9.2%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.5%
23.9%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
0-1
8.5%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.1%
-1
15.7%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
6%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
-11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Alianza Lima
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Oct. 2016 |
UTC
0 - 2
ALI
44%
27%
29%
|
68 | 65 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2016 |
ALI
1 - 0
HUA
43%
29%
29%
|
68 | 69 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2016 |
COM
2 - 1
ALI
50%
27%
23%
|
69 | 66 | 3 | -1 |
| 25 Sep. 2016 |
ALI
0 - 0
ALI
54%
25%
21%
|
69 | 62 | 7 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2016 |
ALI
3 - 0
UNI
41%
28%
32%
|
68 | 69 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Univ. San Martín
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Oct. 2016 |
SAM
4 - 4
UNI
37%
27%
37%
|
64 | 70 | 6 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2016 |
AYA
2 - 2
SAM
49%
25%
26%
|
64 | 63 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2016 |
SAM
6 - 0
UTC
43%
27%
30%
|
62 | 66 | 4 | +2 |
| 27 Sep. 2016 |
HUA
3 - 0
SAM
58%
23%
19%
|
63 | 69 | 6 | -1 |
| 23 Sep. 2016 |
SAM
1 - 1
COM
44%
27%
29%
|
63 | 66 | 3 | 0 |