Alianza Lima vs Univ. San Martín analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
52.9%
Win probability
1.54
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.7%
3-0
5.4%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.5%
2-0
10.6%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.2%
1-0
13.7%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.3%
25.7%
Draw
0-0
8.9%
1-1
12%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.7%
21.4%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
0-1
7.8%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
-1
14.4%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.3%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
-10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Alianza Lima
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Apr. 2013 |
VAL
1 - 0
ALI
41%
28%
31%
|
71 | 69 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2013 |
ALI
1 - 0
GAL
53%
26%
21%
|
70 | 66 | 4 | +1 |
| 31 Mar. 2013 |
COM
2 - 1
ALI
41%
28%
31%
|
71 | 65 | 6 | -1 |
| 16 Mar. 2013 |
ALI
1 - 0
UNI
55%
26%
19%
|
71 | 68 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2013 |
SPC
2 - 2
ALI
62%
22%
16%
|
70 | 75 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Univ. San Martín
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Apr. 2013 |
SAM
2 - 2
AUR
36%
29%
35%
|
65 | 72 | 7 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2013 |
CIE
2 - 0
SAM
50%
25%
25%
|
66 | 65 | 1 | -1 |
| 01 Apr. 2013 |
SAM
1 - 1
HUA
39%
27%
35%
|
66 | 69 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2013 |
PAC
3 - 0
SAM
57%
25%
19%
|
67 | 71 | 4 | -1 |
| 09 Mar. 2013 |
VAL
1 - 0
SAM
46%
27%
28%
|
67 | 68 | 1 | 0 |