Alianza FC vs Universitario analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
41.7%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.4%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.7%
2-0
8%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.2%
1-0
12.4%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.9%
27.9%
Draw
0-0
9.7%
1-1
13.1%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.9%
30.4%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
0-1
10.2%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
18.8%
0-2
5.4%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
8.2%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
-10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Alianza FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Apr. 2018 |
AFC
2 - 0
AMA
39%
29%
32%
|
61 | 67 | 6 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2018 |
AFC
0 - 0
GEM
50%
27%
24%
|
61 | 61 | 0 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2018 |
ARA
1 - 0
AFC
54%
26%
21%
|
62 | 66 | 4 | -1 |
| 30 Mar. 2018 |
TAU
1 - 0
AFC
56%
25%
19%
|
62 | 67 | 5 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2018 |
AFC
1 - 0
IND
51%
26%
23%
|
61 | 59 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Universitario
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Apr. 2018 |
CHO
1 - 1
ARA
40%
29%
31%
|
65 | 65 | 0 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2018 |
CHO
0 - 0
TAU
36%
29%
36%
|
65 | 68 | 3 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2018 |
GEM
1 - 1
CHO
35%
30%
35%
|
66 | 61 | 5 | -1 |
| 30 Mar. 2018 |
IND
3 - 0
CHO
38%
28%
34%
|
66 | 59 | 7 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2018 |
CHO
0 - 0
SMI
50%
27%
24%
|
66 | 61 | 5 | 0 |