Alianza FC vs Herrera FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
39.7%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.3%
3-0
3.1%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.4%
2-0
7.3%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.6%
1-0
11.3%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
22%
27.4%
Draw
0-0
8.8%
1-1
13%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.4%
32.9%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
0-1
10.1%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
19.5%
0-2
5.8%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.1%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3.1%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Alianza FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 May. 2022 |
AFC
0 - 0
AMA
37%
29%
34%
|
66 | 69 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2022 |
AFC
2 - 0
ARA
48%
28%
25%
|
65 | 62 | 3 | +1 |
| 30 Apr. 2022 |
SMI
1 - 0
AFC
45%
29%
26%
|
66 | 66 | 0 | -1 |
| 26 Apr. 2022 |
COS
1 - 2
AFC
41%
30%
29%
|
65 | 65 | 0 | +1 |
| 23 Apr. 2022 |
AFC
0 - 1
TAU
35%
29%
37%
|
66 | 71 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Herrera FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 May. 2022 |
SFF
3 - 1
AZU
31%
27%
42%
|
65 | 61 | 4 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2022 |
AZU
3 - 1
CHO
56%
26%
18%
|
65 | 57 | 8 | 0 |
| 02 May. 2022 |
CHI
0 - 0
AZU
30%
27%
43%
|
65 | 60 | 5 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2022 |
AZU
4 - 0
IND
37%
29%
35%
|
64 | 65 | 1 | +1 |
| 23 Apr. 2022 |
SUN
2 - 2
AZU
29%
26%
45%
|
64 | 57 | 7 | 0 |