Olancho FC vs Lobos de la UPNFM analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
52.8%
Win probability
1.64
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3%
3-0
5.3%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.9%
2-0
9.8%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.2%
1-0
12%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
24.7%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.7%
22.6%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
0-1
7.2%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.6%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.8%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
-15%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
32
1º
6º
2º
25
2º
6º
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
6º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
41 | 42 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
2º
|
32 | 35 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
29 | 29 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
28 | 29 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
25 | 25 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
|
6º
|
25 | 25 |
6º
|
0% | |
|
7º
|
19 | 19 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
16 | 16 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
13 | 13 |
9º
|
0% | |
|
10º
|
13 | 13 |
10º
|
0% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Next round
|
100% | 0% |
|
Play-offs
|
0% | 100% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Olancho FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Feb. 2023 |
MOT
0 - 1
ALI
48%
27%
26%
|
68 | 71 | 3 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2023 |
ALI
3 - 1
VID
46%
26%
28%
|
67 | 67 | 0 | +1 |
| 26 Jan. 2023 |
VIC
1 - 0
ALI
37%
27%
36%
|
67 | 62 | 5 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 2023 |
ALI
2 - 2
MAR
43%
27%
30%
|
67 | 69 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2022 |
MAR
4 - 0
ALI
46%
26%
28%
|
68 | 67 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Lobos de la UPNFM
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Feb. 2023 |
JAG
1 - 0
VIC
39%
26%
35%
|
61 | 63 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2023 |
HNP
0 - 2
JAG
40%
26%
34%
|
60 | 57 | 3 | +1 |
| 25 Jan. 2023 |
RSO
1 - 1
JAG
25%
25%
51%
|
60 | 50 | 10 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2023 |
JAG
2 - 1
MOT
25%
28%
47%
|
59 | 71 | 12 | +1 |
| 20 Nov. 2022 |
JAG
3 - 2
VID
27%
26%
47%
|
58 | 67 | 9 | +1 |