Algeciras CF vs Villarreal analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
14.7%
Win probability
0.64
Expected goals
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.6%
2-0
2.2%
3-1
0.7%
4-2
0.1%
+2
3%
1-0
6.8%
2-1
3.5%
3-2
0.6%
4-3
0.1%
+1
10.9%
24.7%
Draw
0-0
10.6%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
2.8%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
24.7%
60.7%
Win probability
1.6
Expected goals
0-1
17%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
27.4%
0-2
13.6%
1-3
4.7%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0%
-2
18.9%
0-3
7.3%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
9.3%
0-4
2.9%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.6%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Algeciras CF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Dec. 2003 |
TER
0 - 0
ALG
60%
24%
16%
|
58 | 66 | 8 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 2003 |
ALG
0 - 1
POL
35%
28%
37%
|
59 | 64 | 5 | -1 |
| 30 Nov. 2003 |
XER
2 - 1
ALG
71%
19%
10%
|
59 | 71 | 12 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 2003 |
ALG
0 - 1
LEV
22%
29%
50%
|
60 | 77 | 17 | -1 |
| 15 Nov. 2003 |
UDL
2 - 2
ALG
80%
15%
6%
|
59 | 79 | 20 | +1 |
Matches
Villarreal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Dec. 2003 |
VIL
2 - 0
RSO
36%
26%
38%
|
85 | 88 | 3 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 2003 |
MUR
1 - 1
VIL
35%
27%
38%
|
85 | 79 | 6 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 2003 |
VIL
0 - 2
MLL
40%
27%
33%
|
85 | 88 | 3 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 2003 |
DEP
0 - 1
VIL
72%
17%
11%
|
85 | 92 | 7 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 2003 |
TOR
1 - 0
VIL
41%
26%
33%
|
85 | 79 | 6 | 0 |