Alfreton Town vs Tamworth analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57.6%
Win probability
1.97
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.6%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.4%
3-0
5.9%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.9%
2-0
9%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.6%
1-0
9.2%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.4%
21.7%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.7%
20.7%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
0-1
5.1%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
13%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.4%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Alfreton Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Dec. 2011 |
STO
0 - 0
ALF
39%
24%
37%
|
48 | 41 | 7 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 2011 |
ALF
4 - 0
SOU
39%
23%
38%
|
46 | 51 | 5 | +2 |
| 06 Dec. 2011 |
ALF
3 - 2
NEW
40%
24%
36%
|
45 | 49 | 4 | +1 |
| 03 Dec. 2011 |
SOU
2 - 1
ALF
63%
21%
17%
|
45 | 51 | 6 | 0 |
| 29 Nov. 2011 |
BAR
1 - 0
ALF
50%
24%
26%
|
46 | 49 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Tamworth
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Dec. 2011 |
TAM
1 - 3
LUT
30%
28%
43%
|
47 | 58 | 11 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 2011 |
WOR
1 - 0
TAM
41%
24%
35%
|
48 | 43 | 5 | -1 |
| 06 Dec. 2011 |
FOR
3 - 1
TAM
54%
24%
22%
|
49 | 52 | 3 | -1 |
| 03 Dec. 2011 |
GAT
1 - 2
TAM
55%
22%
23%
|
48 | 52 | 4 | +1 |
| 29 Nov. 2011 |
TAM
1 - 0
BRA
32%
26%
42%
|
47 | 54 | 7 | +1 |