FA Cup . 1/1024
Global 5-2
Alfreton Town vs Sutton Coldfield Town analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
71%
Win probability
2.36
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.3%
5-0
2.5%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.4%
4-0
5.2%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.7%
3-0
8.9%
4-1
4.4%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.3%
2-0
11.3%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.9%
1-0
9.6%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.9%
17.2%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
8.1%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.2%
11.7%
Win probability
0.85
Expected goals
0-1
3.4%
1-2
3.4%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
8.2%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.7%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Alfreton Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Sep. 2018 |
SUT
2 - 2
ALF
22%
21%
57%
|
38 | 26 | 12 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2018 |
CHO
3 - 1
ALF
60%
23%
18%
|
39 | 49 | 10 | -1 |
| 08 Sep. 2018 |
ALF
0 - 1
GUI
71%
16%
13%
|
40 | 33 | 7 | -1 |
| 01 Sep. 2018 |
DAR
0 - 1
ALF
46%
23%
31%
|
39 | 39 | 0 | +1 |
| 27 Aug. 2018 |
ALF
3 - 1
SOU
62%
19%
19%
|
38 | 35 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Sutton Coldfield Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Sep. 2018 |
SUT
2 - 2
ALF
22%
21%
57%
|
26 | 38 | 12 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2018 |
YAX
3 - 0
SUT
19%
20%
61%
|
29 | 17 | 12 | -3 |
| 10 Sep. 2018 |
RUS
0 - 1
SUT
61%
22%
18%
|
28 | 37 | 9 | +1 |
| 08 Sep. 2018 |
SUT
2 - 2
RUS
28%
22%
50%
|
27 | 37 | 10 | +1 |
| 01 Sep. 2018 |
AYL
0 - 2
SUT
14%
20%
66%
|
27 | 14 | 13 | 0 |