Alfreton Town vs Macclesfield Town analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
51.2%
Win probability
1.79
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.3%
3-0
4.8%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8%
2-0
8.1%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.6%
1-0
9%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.8%
23.2%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.2%
25.6%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
15.3%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+8%
+7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Alfreton Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Feb. 2013 |
CAM
0 - 3
ALF
56%
23%
21%
|
48 | 53 | 5 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2013 |
ALF
0 - 3
WOK
43%
24%
33%
|
49 | 53 | 4 | -1 |
| 02 Feb. 2013 |
GRI
4 - 2
ALF
69%
19%
12%
|
50 | 62 | 12 | -1 |
| 19 Jan. 2013 |
AFC
0 - 0
ALF
33%
25%
42%
|
50 | 45 | 5 | 0 |
| 12 Jan. 2013 |
HER
3 - 3
ALF
50%
25%
25%
|
50 | 52 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Macclesfield Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Feb. 2013 |
TAM
0 - 0
MAC
37%
26%
37%
|
52 | 49 | 3 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2013 |
HYD
1 - 1
MAC
49%
24%
27%
|
52 | 51 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 2013 |
EBB
0 - 4
MAC
37%
25%
39%
|
51 | 44 | 7 | +1 |
| 26 Jan. 2013 |
MAC
0 - 1
WIG
12%
20%
68%
|
51 | 81 | 30 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 2013 |
MAC
1 - 0
KID
32%
27%
42%
|
50 | 58 | 8 | +1 |