Alfreton Town vs Kidderminster Harriers analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
51.5%
Win probability
1.98
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.8%
3-0
4.5%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
8.5%
2-0
6.8%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.6%
1-0
6.9%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
4.3%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.7%
21.8%
Draw
0-0
3.5%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
21.8%
26.7%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
0-1
4.8%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
15.1%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
3%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
7.5%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
2.9%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Alfreton Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Nov. 2012 |
HYD
1 - 1
ALF
50%
24%
26%
|
51 | 50 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 2012 |
WOK
1 - 2
ALF
51%
24%
25%
|
50 | 51 | 1 | +1 |
| 09 Nov. 2012 |
ALF
4 - 3
NEW
42%
24%
34%
|
49 | 54 | 5 | +1 |
| 06 Nov. 2012 |
GAT
2 - 0
ALF
47%
25%
28%
|
50 | 51 | 1 | -1 |
| 03 Nov. 2012 |
WRE
2 - 4
ALF
65%
20%
16%
|
48 | 60 | 12 | +2 |
Matches
Kidderminster Harriers
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Nov. 2012 |
AFC
0 - 2
KID
39%
26%
35%
|
51 | 48 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 2012 |
KID
1 - 0
NUN
49%
24%
27%
|
50 | 49 | 1 | +1 |
| 06 Nov. 2012 |
WOK
2 - 2
KID
54%
24%
23%
|
50 | 53 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 2012 |
KID
0 - 2
OLD
43%
25%
32%
|
51 | 55 | 4 | -1 |
| 27 Oct. 2012 |
KID
1 - 1
GAT
50%
24%
26%
|
51 | 50 | 1 | 0 |