Alfreton Town vs Fleetwood Town analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
34.6%
Win probability
1.37
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.4%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4%
2-0
5.3%
3-1
3.7%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
10%
1-0
7.7%
2-1
8%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.9%
24.8%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.8%
40.6%
Win probability
1.51
Expected goals
0-1
8.4%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20.8%
0-2
6.4%
1-3
4.4%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
12.1%
0-3
3.2%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5.3%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.8%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
+23%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Alfreton Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Oct. 2011 |
CAM
3 - 0
ALF
48%
25%
27%
|
50 | 51 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 2011 |
ALF
1 - 3
LIN
70%
18%
12%
|
50 | 42 | 8 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2011 |
ALF
1 - 1
KET
70%
18%
13%
|
51 | 43 | 8 | -1 |
| 01 Oct. 2011 |
GRI
5 - 2
ALF
40%
26%
35%
|
52 | 47 | 5 | -1 |
| 27 Sep. 2011 |
AFC
1 - 0
ALF
43%
26%
31%
|
53 | 52 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Fleetwood Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Oct. 2011 |
LIN
1 - 3
FLE
24%
25%
52%
|
55 | 43 | 12 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 2011 |
FLE
1 - 4
NEW
63%
22%
16%
|
56 | 47 | 9 | -1 |
| 08 Oct. 2011 |
FLE
0 - 0
FOR
64%
21%
15%
|
56 | 47 | 9 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2011 |
BRA
1 - 2
FLE
47%
26%
28%
|
56 | 57 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2011 |
STO
2 - 4
FLE
35%
25%
41%
|
55 | 46 | 9 | +1 |