Alfinden vs Casetas analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
44.1%
Win probability
1.9
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.8%
3-0
3.3%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
6.8%
2-0
5.2%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
0.1%
+2
13.2%
1-0
5.5%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
4.5%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.9%
21.9%
Draw
0-0
2.9%
1-1
9%
2-2
7.1%
3-3
2.5%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.9%
33.9%
Win probability
1.65
Expected goals
0-1
4.7%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
3.9%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
17.2%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
4.1%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
10%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
4.5%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Alfinden
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Oct. 2021 |
SAL
1 - 4
ALF
35%
23%
42%
|
7 | 5 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 2021 |
ALF
1 - 4
HUR
7%
13%
80%
|
7 | 19 | 12 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2021 |
PIN
1 - 1
ALF
62%
19%
19%
|
7 | 9 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 2021 |
ALF
1 - 2
ZUE
35%
21%
44%
|
8 | 9 | 1 | -1 |
| 19 Sep. 2021 |
CAR
1 - 1
ALF
79%
12%
9%
|
8 | 12 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Casetas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Oct. 2021 |
HUR
2 - 2
CAS
87%
9%
4%
|
8 | 19 | 11 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 2021 |
CAS
4 - 0
ZUE
26%
22%
53%
|
6 | 9 | 3 | +2 |
| 03 Oct. 2021 |
PER
4 - 1
CAS
59%
21%
20%
|
7 | 9 | 2 | -1 |
| 26 Sep. 2021 |
CAS
2 - 2
MIR
38%
23%
40%
|
7 | 8 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 2021 |
MOL
6 - 5
CAS
62%
18%
20%
|
8 | 8 | 0 | -1 |