Alfarras vs Seros A analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
77.1%
Win probability
2.68
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.8%
6-0
1.6%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.1%
5-0
3.6%
6-1
1.3%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
5%
4-0
6.6%
5-1
2.9%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
10%
3-0
9.9%
4-1
5.3%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
16.5%
2-0
11%
3-1
7.9%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.4%
1-0
8.2%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.9%
14.2%
Draw
0-0
3.1%
1-1
6.6%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
14.2%
8.7%
Win probability
0.8
Expected goals
0-1
2.5%
1-2
2.6%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
6.2%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
1.9%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Alfarras
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Oct. 2014 |
BJC
1 - 8
ALF
19%
21%
60%
|
14 | 7 | 7 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2014 |
ALM
1 - 3
ALF
39%
23%
37%
|
13 | 12 | 1 | +1 |
| 21 Sep. 2014 |
ALF
4 - 1
AFL
67%
18%
15%
|
13 | 9 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Seros A
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Oct. 2014 |
SER
0 - 2
ALM
38%
23%
39%
|
9 | 11 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2014 |
AFL
5 - 2
SER
34%
23%
42%
|
11 | 9 | 2 | -2 |
| 20 Sep. 2014 |
SER
2 - 1
MAS
56%
21%
23%
|
10 | 9 | 1 | +1 |