Alera vs Pinsoro analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
9.2%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.3%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
0.6%
2-0
0.9%
3-1
0.9%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
2.2%
1-0
1.7%
2-1
2.7%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
0.1%
+1
6.2%
12.8%
Draw
0-0
1.7%
1-1
5.2%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
12.7%
78%
Win probability
3.07
Expected goals
0-1
5.1%
1-2
8%
2-3
4.2%
3-4
1.1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
18.7%
0-2
7.9%
1-3
8.2%
2-4
3.2%
3-5
0.7%
4-6
0.1%
-2
20.1%
0-3
8.1%
1-4
6.3%
2-5
2%
3-6
0.3%
4-7
0%
-3
16.8%
0-4
6.2%
1-5
3.9%
2-6
1%
3-7
0.2%
4-8
0%
-4
11.3%
0-5
3.8%
1-6
2%
2-7
0.4%
3-8
0.1%
-5
6.3%
0-6
2%
1-7
0.9%
2-8
0.2%
3-9
0%
-6
3%
0-7
0.9%
1-8
0.3%
2-9
0.1%
-7
1.2%
0-8
0.3%
1-9
0.1%
2-10
0%
-8
0.5%
0-9
0.1%
1-10
0%
-9
0.1%
0-10
0%
-10
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-19%
+503%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Alera
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Oct. 2022 |
BAR
3 - 1
ALE
61%
19%
21%
|
5 | 9 | 4 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2022 |
ALE
0 - 3
AGR
64%
17%
19%
|
6 | 5 | 1 | -1 |
| 02 Oct. 2022 |
UNC
3 - 1
ALE
44%
20%
36%
|
7 | 7 | 0 | -1 |
| 13 Mar. 2022 |
ALE
2 - 2
LUN
36%
21%
43%
|
7 | 10 | 3 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 2022 |
OLI
2 - 3
ALE
35%
21%
44%
|
7 | 5 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Pinsoro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Oct. 2022 |
LUN
3 - 3
PIN
25%
20%
55%
|
14 | 11 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2022 |
PIN
1 - 0
SAN
84%
11%
6%
|
13 | 7 | 6 | +1 |
| 08 Mar. 2020 |
PIN
2 - 0
EUR
66%
18%
16%
|
13 | 11 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2020 |
BAR
0 - 5
PIN
15%
17%
69%
|
13 | 8 | 5 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 2020 |
PIN
4 - 0
PUY
71%
16%
13%
|
12 | 8 | 4 | +1 |