Alemannia Mariadorf vs SW Nierfeld analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
21.4%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.1%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2%
2-0
2.7%
3-1
2.3%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
5.8%
1-0
4.4%
2-1
5.6%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
12.9%
20.7%
Draw
0-0
3.6%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
20.7%
57.9%
Win probability
2.11
Expected goals
0-1
7.6%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
4.2%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.5%
0-2
8%
1-3
6.8%
2-4
2.2%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
17.5%
0-3
5.6%
1-4
3.6%
2-5
0.9%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
10.3%
0-4
3%
1-5
1.5%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
4.9%
0-5
1.3%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
1.9%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
1-9
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Alemannia Mariadorf
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Sep. 2015 |
GER
5 - 1
ALE
67%
18%
16%
|
11 | 14 | 3 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 2015 |
ALE
2 - 1
DUR
9%
16%
76%
|
9 | 24 | 15 | +2 |
| 30 Aug. 2015 |
SVR
5 - 2
ALE
83%
11%
6%
|
9 | 18 | 9 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2015 |
ALE
2 - 0
SFD
48%
22%
30%
|
8 | 8 | 0 | +1 |
| 23 Aug. 2015 |
HBE
3 - 2
ALE
87%
9%
4%
|
8 | 26 | 18 | 0 |
Matches
SW Nierfeld
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Sep. 2015 |
NIE
5 - 3
SCB
34%
22%
44%
|
13 | 18 | 5 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 2015 |
NIE
2 - 3
NIE
64%
19%
17%
|
13 | 16 | 3 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 2015 |
NIE
1 - 5
IHN
28%
22%
51%
|
13 | 19 | 6 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2015 |
VFL
3 - 1
NIE
64%
19%
18%
|
14 | 17 | 3 | -1 |
| 16 Aug. 2015 |
GET
3 - 0
NIE
76%
15%
10%
|
15 | 23 | 8 | -1 |