Alemannia Aachen vs Arminia Bielefeld analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
73.6%
Win probability
2.37
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.4%
5-0
2.8%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.7%
4-0
5.8%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.2%
3-0
9.8%
4-1
4.4%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15%
2-0
12.4%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.6%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.9%
16.5%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
7.8%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
16.5%
9.9%
Win probability
0.75
Expected goals
0-1
3.3%
1-2
2.9%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
7.2%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.1%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+31%
-13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Alemannia Aachen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 May. 2011 |
F95
3 - 1
AAA
44%
27%
29%
|
70 | 71 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 2011 |
AAA
4 - 0
ROT
73%
17%
10%
|
70 | 57 | 13 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 2011 |
AUG
1 - 2
AAA
56%
24%
20%
|
69 | 78 | 9 | +1 |
| 17 Apr. 2011 |
AAA
1 - 5
ERZ
58%
22%
20%
|
70 | 67 | 3 | -1 |
| 08 Apr. 2011 |
MSV
3 - 2
AAA
56%
23%
21%
|
70 | 74 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Arminia Bielefeld
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 May. 2011 |
ARB
2 - 1
KSC
35%
26%
39%
|
57 | 63 | 6 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2011 |
SGF
1 - 0
ARB
73%
18%
10%
|
58 | 73 | 15 | -1 |
| 24 Apr. 2011 |
F95
2 - 0
ARB
64%
22%
14%
|
59 | 71 | 12 | -1 |
| 17 Apr. 2011 |
ARB
3 - 3
ROT
52%
25%
24%
|
59 | 56 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 2011 |
OSN
0 - 0
ARB
55%
24%
22%
|
58 | 61 | 3 | +1 |