Alecrim vs Santa Cruz RN analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
49.7%
Win probability
1.57
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.6%
3-0
4.8%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7%
2-0
9.1%
3-1
5%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.1%
1-0
11.5%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.9%
25.2%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
12%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.2%
25.1%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
0-1
7.6%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15.8%
0-2
4%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.6%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-11%
+50%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Alecrim
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Apr. 2015 |
ALE
2 - 0
PAL
56%
24%
21%
|
43 | 38 | 5 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 2015 |
BAR
3 - 1
ALE
35%
28%
37%
|
44 | 41 | 3 | -1 |
| 09 Apr. 2015 |
POT
3 - 2
ALE
42%
26%
31%
|
45 | 44 | 1 | -1 |
| 05 Apr. 2015 |
ALE
1 - 1
GLO
42%
26%
33%
|
45 | 47 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 2015 |
ABC
2 - 0
ALE
77%
16%
7%
|
45 | 63 | 18 | 0 |
Matches
Santa Cruz RN
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Apr. 2015 |
SAN
0 - 3
ARN
14%
22%
65%
|
40 | 62 | 22 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 2015 |
ABC
4 - 0
SAN
76%
16%
8%
|
41 | 64 | 23 | -1 |
| 09 Apr. 2015 |
SAN
1 - 1
GLO
32%
26%
42%
|
40 | 47 | 7 | +1 |
| 04 Apr. 2015 |
BAR
1 - 2
SAN
44%
27%
29%
|
39 | 42 | 3 | +1 |
| 29 Mar. 2015 |
SAN
2 - 0
PAL
48%
25%
27%
|
38 | 37 | 1 | +1 |