Aldershot Town vs Chesterfield analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
29.6%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
1.8%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.8%
2-0
4.8%
3-1
2.7%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8.2%
1-0
8.3%
2-1
7.1%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.7%
25.8%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.8%
44.6%
Win probability
1.48
Expected goals
0-1
10.6%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
22.7%
0-2
7.9%
1-3
4.5%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
13.4%
0-3
3.9%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5.8%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
-13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aldershot Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Jan. 2019 |
ALD
0 - 0
MAI
41%
26%
33%
|
39 | 39 | 0 | 0 |
| 29 Dec. 2018 |
SUT
2 - 1
ALD
69%
19%
12%
|
39 | 51 | 12 | 0 |
| 26 Dec. 2018 |
MAI
4 - 3
ALD
45%
24%
31%
|
40 | 39 | 1 | -1 |
| 22 Dec. 2018 |
ALD
0 - 0
WRE
22%
27%
52%
|
39 | 52 | 13 | +1 |
| 18 Dec. 2018 |
BED
7 - 0
ALD
30%
25%
45%
|
42 | 35 | 7 | -3 |
Matches
Chesterfield
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Jan. 2019 |
CHE
1 - 0
BED
61%
21%
18%
|
44 | 35 | 9 | 0 |
| 05 Jan. 2019 |
CHE
3 - 3
EBB
34%
26%
40%
|
43 | 49 | 6 | +1 |
| 01 Jan. 2019 |
SOL
2 - 2
CHE
58%
24%
18%
|
43 | 52 | 9 | 0 |
| 29 Dec. 2018 |
CHE
1 - 1
HAR
55%
23%
22%
|
43 | 42 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Dec. 2018 |
CHE
0 - 4
SOL
30%
27%
43%
|
44 | 52 | 8 | -1 |