Alcoyano vs Recreativo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
19.4%
Win probability
0.69
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.9%
2-0
3.2%
3-1
1%
4-2
0.1%
+2
4.2%
1-0
9.2%
2-1
4.2%
3-2
0.6%
4-3
<0%
+1
14.1%
28.7%
Draw
0-0
13.4%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
2.8%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
28.7%
51.9%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
0-1
17.7%
1-2
8%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
-1
27.1%
0-2
11.7%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
15.7%
0-3
5.2%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.1%
-3
6.4%
0-4
1.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
2%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+24%
+13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Alcoyano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Nov. 2011 |
GUA
1 - 1
ALC
50%
26%
24%
|
57 | 59 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2011 |
ALC
0 - 0
ALC
26%
30%
44%
|
57 | 70 | 13 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2011 |
SAB
2 - 2
ALC
48%
27%
25%
|
57 | 58 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 2011 |
VAD
2 - 0
ALC
83%
13%
4%
|
57 | 79 | 22 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2011 |
ALC
1 - 4
FCB
21%
25%
54%
|
58 | 69 | 11 | -1 |
Matches
Recreativo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Nov. 2011 |
REC
4 - 2
UDL
45%
27%
28%
|
73 | 68 | 5 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2011 |
GUA
0 - 2
REC
26%
29%
45%
|
73 | 60 | 13 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2011 |
REC
1 - 1
NUM
46%
28%
26%
|
73 | 69 | 4 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2011 |
REC
0 - 2
MUR
46%
28%
26%
|
73 | 70 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2011 |
ALC
2 - 1
REC
45%
27%
28%
|
74 | 69 | 5 | -1 |