Alcoyano vs Hércules analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58.3%
Win probability
1.73
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.8%
3-0
6.6%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.3%
2-0
11.4%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.1%
1-0
13.2%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.5%
23.6%
Draw
0-0
7.7%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.6%
18.1%
Win probability
0.84
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
12.4%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.3%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Alcoyano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Aug. 2022 |
ALC
1 - 1
ATZ
79%
15%
5%
|
56 | 35 | 21 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 2022 |
RAY
0 - 2
ALC
8%
20%
72%
|
56 | 21 | 35 | 0 |
| 27 Jul. 2022 |
LOL
0 - 3
ALC
8%
20%
71%
|
56 | 13 | 43 | 0 |
| 27 Jul. 2022 |
MUR
0 - 4
ALC
10%
21%
69%
|
56 | 17 | 39 | 0 |
| 28 May. 2022 |
ALC
0 - 1
GIM
41%
30%
30%
|
57 | 60 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Hércules
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Aug. 2022 |
HER
1 - 0
CAS
32%
27%
42%
|
50 | 54 | 4 | 0 |
| 02 Aug. 2022 |
HER
1 - 0
ALW
14%
21%
65%
|
49 | 65 | 16 | +1 |
| 21 May. 2022 |
ADA
1 - 1
HER
40%
26%
34%
|
50 | 45 | 5 | -1 |
| 15 May. 2022 |
HER
1 - 1
MAR
72%
19%
10%
|
50 | 37 | 13 | 0 |
| 08 May. 2022 |
CDT
1 - 1
HER
22%
27%
51%
|
50 | 38 | 12 | 0 |