Alcides vs Dieze West analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
46.1%
Win probability
1.93
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.1%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.1%
3-0
3.6%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
7.3%
2-0
5.6%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
0.1%
+2
13.9%
1-0
5.8%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
4.5%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.4%
21.9%
Draw
0-0
3%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
6.9%
3-3
2.4%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.9%
32%
Win probability
1.58
Expected goals
0-1
4.7%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
3.7%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
16.7%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
3.8%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
9.3%
0-3
2%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
4%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Alcides
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 May. 2015 |
ARH
3 - 2
ALC
34%
22%
44%
|
33 | 26 | 7 | 0 |
| 03 May. 2015 |
ALC
1 - 2
DEB
55%
22%
23%
|
34 | 29 | 5 | -1 |
| 26 Apr. 2015 |
GER
1 - 3
ALC
31%
24%
46%
|
33 | 25 | 8 | +1 |
| 19 Apr. 2015 |
BEQ
4 - 2
ALC
53%
22%
25%
|
34 | 36 | 2 | -1 |
| 12 Apr. 2015 |
ALC
1 - 2
ROH
44%
24%
32%
|
35 | 35 | 0 | -1 |
Matches
Dieze West
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 May. 2015 |
DIE
5 - 2
VVE
71%
16%
13%
|
31 | 23 | 8 | 0 |
| 03 May. 2015 |
ROL
0 - 4
DIE
15%
18%
68%
|
31 | 15 | 16 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 2015 |
DIE
4 - 0
VKW
81%
12%
7%
|
31 | 17 | 14 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 2015 |
STE
0 - 9
DIE
9%
16%
75%
|
30 | 9 | 21 | +1 |
| 16 Apr. 2015 |
WVV
1 - 2
DIE
41%
23%
36%
|
29 | 26 | 3 | +1 |