RSD Alcalá vs Casetas analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
66.4%
Win probability
1.89
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.9%
4-0
4.1%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
5.2%
3-0
8.7%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.8%
2-0
13.8%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.6%
1-0
14.6%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26%
21.1%
Draw
0-0
7.7%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
21.1%
12.5%
Win probability
0.67
Expected goals
0-1
5.2%
1-2
3.3%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
9.2%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
-2
2.6%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+15%
+51%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
RSD Alcalá
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Nov. 2003 |
CDT
0 - 1
ALC
44%
27%
29%
|
49 | 49 | 0 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 2003 |
ALC
0 - 0
TAL
49%
26%
26%
|
49 | 47 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 2003 |
CUL
3 - 1
ALC
63%
21%
16%
|
50 | 60 | 10 | -1 |
| 09 Nov. 2003 |
ALC
0 - 2
MIR
51%
26%
23%
|
51 | 48 | 3 | -1 |
| 02 Nov. 2003 |
ATB
3 - 0
ALC
51%
26%
23%
|
52 | 56 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Casetas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Nov. 2003 |
UDC
1 - 1
ALC
19%
25%
56%
|
35 | 54 | 19 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 2003 |
UDC
1 - 4
SSR
34%
27%
40%
|
37 | 43 | 6 | -2 |
| 16 Nov. 2003 |
CDT
0 - 0
UDC
65%
22%
13%
|
36 | 49 | 13 | +1 |
| 09 Nov. 2003 |
UDC
2 - 2
TAL
26%
27%
48%
|
36 | 48 | 12 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 2003 |
CUL
4 - 0
UDC
71%
18%
11%
|
36 | 60 | 24 | 0 |