Alcalá Atlético vs Paterna CF analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
12.8%
Win probability
0.78
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.4%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.7%
2-0
1.7%
3-1
0.9%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.9%
1-0
4.4%
2-1
3.6%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.1%
5-4
<0%
+1
9.1%
19.3%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.3%
67.9%
Win probability
2.1
Expected goals
0-1
11.8%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.5%
0-2
12.4%
1-3
6.8%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
20.7%
0-3
8.7%
1-4
3.5%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
12.8%
0-4
4.5%
1-5
1.5%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
6.3%
0-5
1.9%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.5%
0-6
0.7%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.8%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0.1%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Alcalá Atlético
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Oct. 2007 |
JIM
1 - 1
ALC
65%
20%
15%
|
12 | 16 | 4 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2007 |
ALC
2 - 2
CDG
14%
21%
65%
|
11 | 26 | 15 | +1 |
| 23 Sep. 2007 |
CDF
5 - 1
ALC
67%
19%
14%
|
11 | 16 | 5 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2007 |
ALC
2 - 1
RAY
38%
25%
38%
|
10 | 12 | 2 | +1 |
| 09 Sep. 2007 |
ATL
4 - 1
ALC
73%
17%
10%
|
11 | 16 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Paterna CF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Oct. 2007 |
PAT
6 - 2
PUE
83%
12%
5%
|
34 | 12 | 22 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2007 |
SID
1 - 3
PAT
12%
19%
70%
|
33 | 11 | 22 | +1 |
| 23 Sep. 2007 |
PAT
3 - 1
UDT
41%
24%
35%
|
30 | 33 | 3 | +3 |
| 16 Sep. 2007 |
ESP
2 - 2
PAT
16%
21%
63%
|
29 | 14 | 15 | +1 |
| 09 Sep. 2007 |
PAT
2 - 0
SIS
83%
12%
5%
|
28 | 12 | 16 | +1 |