Alcàsser vs Dénia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
14.9%
Win probability
0.81
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.6%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.8%
2-0
2.1%
3-1
1.1%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.4%
1-0
5.1%
2-1
4.1%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.1%
5-4
<0%
+1
10.4%
21.1%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
10%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.1%
64.1%
Win probability
1.95
Expected goals
0-1
12.3%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25%
0-2
12%
1-3
6.3%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
19.7%
0-3
7.8%
1-4
3.1%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
11.4%
0-4
3.8%
1-5
1.2%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
5.2%
0-5
1.5%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0%
-5
1.9%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+34%
+10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Alcàsser
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Sep. 2019 |
PEG
2 - 1
ALC
78%
15%
7%
|
10 | 17 | 7 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2019 |
ALC
2 - 2
PED
10%
16%
75%
|
10 | 19 | 9 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2019 |
TAV
2 - 2
ALC
88%
9%
4%
|
9 | 17 | 8 | +1 |
| 01 Sep. 2019 |
ALC
0 - 1
UDC
14%
20%
66%
|
10 | 20 | 10 | -1 |
| 18 May. 2019 |
ALC
1 - 4
REC
11%
19%
70%
|
11 | 24 | 13 | -1 |
Matches
Dénia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Sep. 2019 |
DEN
2 - 2
SDS
50%
23%
27%
|
19 | 18 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2019 |
ENG
1 - 0
DEN
36%
24%
39%
|
20 | 16 | 4 | -1 |
| 08 Sep. 2019 |
DEN
1 - 3
JAV
58%
22%
20%
|
21 | 18 | 3 | -1 |
| 31 Aug. 2019 |
LLO
0 - 3
DEN
8%
18%
74%
|
22 | 8 | 14 | -1 |
| 02 Jun. 2019 |
DEN
2 - 1
OND
55%
22%
23%
|
22 | 20 | 2 | 0 |