CP Alburquerque vs Cerro de Reyes analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
19.9%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.4%
2-0
3%
3-1
1.6%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
5%
1-0
6.4%
2-1
5.2%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
13.2%
23.4%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.4%
56.7%
Win probability
1.75
Expected goals
0-1
12%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.8%
0-2
10.5%
1-3
5.7%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.1%
-2
17.5%
0-3
6.1%
1-4
2.5%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
9.1%
0-4
2.7%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.7%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.2%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CP Alburquerque
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Jan. 2004 |
VIL
1 - 0
CPA
61%
22%
17%
|
20 | 22 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 Jan. 2004 |
MON
0 - 1
CPA
68%
19%
13%
|
19 | 23 | 4 | +1 |
| 21 Dec. 2003 |
CPA
1 - 3
MON
59%
22%
19%
|
20 | 18 | 2 | -1 |
| 14 Dec. 2003 |
CDP
1 - 3
CPA
26%
26%
48%
|
19 | 13 | 6 | +1 |
| 30 Nov. 2003 |
CPA
2 - 3
CDZ
15%
23%
62%
|
20 | 49 | 29 | -1 |
Matches
Cerro de Reyes
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Jan. 2004 |
CER
4 - 0
MON
78%
15%
7%
|
35 | 22 | 13 | 0 |
| 04 Jan. 2004 |
MON
2 - 2
CER
18%
25%
57%
|
35 | 19 | 16 | 0 |
| 21 Dec. 2003 |
CER
1 - 0
CDP
87%
10%
4%
|
35 | 12 | 23 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 2003 |
CDZ
0 - 0
CER
60%
24%
15%
|
35 | 50 | 15 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 2003 |
CER
2 - 1
VIL
81%
14%
5%
|
34 | 20 | 14 | +1 |