Albirex Niigata vs Sanfrecce Hiroshima analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
75.1%
Win probability
2.6
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.4%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.9%
5-0
3.2%
6-1
1.2%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.5%
4-0
6.1%
5-1
2.7%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
9.3%
3-0
9.4%
4-1
5.1%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
15.8%
2-0
10.9%
3-1
7.9%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.2%
1-0
8.4%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.4%
15.1%
Draw
0-0
3.2%
1-1
7%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
15.1%
9.8%
Win probability
0.84
Expected goals
0-1
2.7%
1-2
2.9%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
6.9%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-21%
+18%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Albirex Niigata
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Aug. 2003 |
SHO
0 - 0
ALB
8%
21%
72%
|
86 | 55 | 31 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2003 |
ALB
0 - 0
MIT
73%
16%
11%
|
86 | 76 | 10 | 0 |
| 02 Aug. 2003 |
ALB
5 - 1
CON
81%
14%
6%
|
86 | 65 | 21 | 0 |
| 30 Jul. 2003 |
OMI
0 - 2
ALB
49%
24%
27%
|
85 | 84 | 1 | +1 |
| 26 Jul. 2003 |
ALB
3 - 2
AVI
82%
13%
5%
|
85 | 58 | 27 | 0 |
Matches
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Aug. 2003 |
SAN
3 - 0
YOK
45%
25%
30%
|
74 | 75 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2003 |
AVI
3 - 1
SAN
28%
26%
46%
|
75 | 61 | 14 | -1 |
| 02 Aug. 2003 |
SHO
1 - 0
SAN
24%
24%
52%
|
76 | 53 | 23 | -1 |
| 30 Jul. 2003 |
SAN
1 - 1
KAW
44%
26%
30%
|
76 | 78 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Jul. 2003 |
SAG
2 - 2
SAN
52%
24%
24%
|
76 | 78 | 2 | 0 |