Albalonga vs Ostia Mare analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
64%
Win probability
2.03
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.1%
4-0
3.8%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.4%
3-0
7.6%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.6%
2-0
11.2%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.6%
1-0
11.1%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
20.5%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.5%
15.5%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
0-1
4.8%
1-2
4.3%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.6%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.7%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
-32%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Albalonga
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Sep. 2015 |
BUD
2 - 5
ALB
38%
25%
37%
|
42 | 38 | 4 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 2015 |
ALB
5 - 1
AST
76%
15%
10%
|
41 | 29 | 12 | +1 |
Matches
Ostia Mare
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Sep. 2015 |
OST
3 - 0
AST
69%
18%
12%
|
36 | 27 | 9 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 2015 |
ARZ
2 - 0
OST
34%
27%
40%
|
38 | 33 | 5 | -2 |
| 06 Sep. 2015 |
OST
1 - 0
VIT
34%
22%
43%
|
37 | 41 | 4 | +1 |
| 17 May. 2015 |
BUD
1 - 1
OST
57%
23%
20%
|
37 | 40 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 May. 2015 |
OST
3 - 1
AST
63%
21%
16%
|
36 | 31 | 5 | +1 |