Copa del Rey . Last 16
Global 5-1
Deportivo Alavés vs SD Formentera analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
81%
Win probability
2.13
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
1.3%
5-0
3.3%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
3.6%
4-0
7.7%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
<0%
+4
8.7%
3-0
14.5%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.1%
+3
16.8%
2-0
20.4%
3-1
4%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
24.8%
1-0
19.2%
2-1
5.7%
3-2
0.6%
4-3
<0%
+1
25.4%
15.2%
Draw
0-0
9%
1-1
5.3%
2-2
0.8%
3-3
0.1%
0
15.2%
3.8%
Win probability
0.28
Expected goals
0-1
2.5%
1-2
0.7%
2-3
0.1%
-1
3.3%
0-2
0.3%
1-3
0.1%
-2
0.4%
0-3
0%
-3
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Deportivo Alavés
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Jan. 2018 |
ATH
2 - 0
ALA
60%
23%
17%
|
82 | 85 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 Jan. 2018 |
SDF
1 - 3
ALA
8%
20%
72%
|
82 | 47 | 35 | 0 |
| 21 Dec. 2017 |
ALA
1 - 0
MAL
34%
28%
38%
|
82 | 85 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 Dec. 2017 |
ATM
1 - 0
ALA
75%
18%
7%
|
82 | 91 | 9 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 2017 |
ALA
2 - 0
UDL
38%
26%
36%
|
82 | 82 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
SD Formentera
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Jan. 2018 |
SDF
0 - 1
PXD
70%
19%
11%
|
47 | 34 | 13 | 0 |
| 03 Jan. 2018 |
SDF
1 - 3
ALA
8%
20%
72%
|
47 | 82 | 35 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 2017 |
SDF
1 - 0
PER
56%
24%
20%
|
47 | 41 | 6 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 2017 |
ZAR
2 - 1
SDF
26%
26%
48%
|
48 | 38 | 10 | -1 |
| 03 Dec. 2017 |
SDF
2 - 1
BAD
31%
28%
41%
|
47 | 53 | 6 | +1 |