Alaniya Vladikavkaz vs Arsenal Tula analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
64.7%
Win probability
2.03
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.1%
4-0
4%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.6%
3-0
7.8%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.8%
2-0
11.5%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.8%
1-0
11.3%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
20.4%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.4%
14.9%
Win probability
0.86
Expected goals
0-1
4.8%
1-2
4.2%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.3%
0-2
2%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.5%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-20%
+17%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
46
1º
12º
7º
55
2º
16º
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
4º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
63 | 66 |
1º
|
91% | |
|
2º
|
61 | 61 |
2º
|
91% | |
|
3º
|
56 | 59 |
3º
|
82% | |
|
|
4º
|
55 | 56 |
4º
|
82% | |
|
5º
|
52 | 55 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
48 | 51 |
6º
|
38% | |
|
|
9º
|
46 | 49 |
7º
|
31.5% | |
|
8º
|
48 | 49 |
8º
|
33.5% | |
|
7º
|
48 | 48 |
9º
|
29.5% | |
|
10º
|
44 | 45 |
10º
|
72.5% | |
|
12º
|
41 | 44 |
11º
|
47% | |
|
11º
|
42 | 42 |
12º
|
44.5% | |
|
13º
|
41 | 41 |
13º
|
72.5% | |
|
14º
|
35 | 35 |
14º
|
15% | |
|
16º
|
34 | 35 |
15º
|
22% | |
|
15º
|
35 | 35 |
16º
|
5% | |
|
17º
|
31 | 34 |
17º
|
100% | |
|
18º
|
23 | 23 |
18º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 100% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Alaniya Vladikavkaz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Oct. 2023 |
VOL
1 - 0
ALA
16%
24%
60%
|
67 | 53 | 14 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2023 |
ALA
1 - 0
FKL
79%
14%
6%
|
67 | 52 | 15 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2023 |
KHI
2 - 2
ALA
36%
27%
37%
|
67 | 63 | 4 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2023 |
SOK
0 - 0
ALA
14%
23%
63%
|
68 | 51 | 17 | -1 |
| 27 Sep. 2023 |
ROT
1 - 0
ALA
17%
21%
62%
|
68 | 55 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
Arsenal Tula
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Oct. 2023 |
ARS
3 - 1
PKU
57%
24%
19%
|
58 | 54 | 4 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2023 |
ARS
1 - 2
FKR
46%
24%
30%
|
59 | 58 | 1 | -1 |
| 14 Oct. 2023 |
SKA
1 - 1
ARS
44%
27%
29%
|
59 | 60 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2023 |
ARS
3 - 0
SOK
62%
22%
16%
|
58 | 52 | 6 | +1 |
| 01 Oct. 2023 |
NEF
0 - 0
ARS
45%
26%
29%
|
58 | 58 | 0 | 0 |