Al Shorta vs Naft Al-Wasat analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
46.3%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.9%
3-0
4.2%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.8%
2-0
9%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.9%
1-0
12.8%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
27%
Draw
0-0
9.2%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27%
26.7%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
0-1
9.1%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
17%
0-2
4.5%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
7%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+36%
-42%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
79
1º
9º
1º
36
11º
18º
18º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
18º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
79 | 79 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
78 | 78 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
68 | 68 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
66 | 66 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
62 | 62 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
58 | 58 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
56 | 56 |
7º
|
0% | |
|
8º
|
56 | 56 |
8º
|
0% | |
|
9º
|
51 | 51 |
9º
|
0% | |
|
10º
|
51 | 51 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
51 | 51 |
11º
|
0% | |
|
12º
|
50 | 50 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
49 | 49 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
43 | 43 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
42 | 42 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
40 | 40 |
16º
|
100% | |
|
17º
|
40 | 40 |
17º
|
100% | |
|
|
18º
|
36 | 36 |
18º
|
100% | |
|
19º
|
28 | 28 |
19º
|
100% | |
|
20º
|
12 | 12 |
20º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
AFC Champions League
|
100% | 0% |
|
AFC Cup
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Al Shorta
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Oct. 2022 |
ALN
1 - 2
ALS
38%
29%
33%
|
71 | 71 | 0 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2022 |
ALS
1 - 0
DIW
67%
21%
12%
|
71 | 58 | 13 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2022 |
ALS
2 - 1
ALZ
47%
27%
26%
|
71 | 71 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 2022 |
DUH
1 - 1
ALS
43%
28%
30%
|
71 | 68 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2022 |
ALS
1 - 0
KAR
61%
22%
17%
|
70 | 64 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
Naft Al-Wasat
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Oct. 2022 |
WAS
1 - 1
DUH
41%
29%
30%
|
71 | 69 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2022 |
HUD
0 - 0
WAS
30%
28%
42%
|
71 | 62 | 9 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2022 |
WAS
0 - 0
NAF
52%
28%
20%
|
71 | 66 | 5 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2022 |
ALK
0 - 0
WAS
28%
29%
43%
|
71 | 64 | 7 | 0 |
| 29 Jun. 2022 |
QAS
1 - 1
WAS
29%
29%
42%
|
71 | 60 | 11 | 0 |